Political 'Markets' Abuzz With VP Speculation, as Candidates Begin Search
FOXNews.com
Thursday, May 22, 2008
With Barack Obama quietly launching a vice presidential selection process and John McCain hosting potential running mates at his Arizona retreat this weekend, political oddsmakers are having a field day.
Various online trading markets have been abuzz for months, attempting to weigh the chances of those considered to be in the running for a vice presidential nod.
Here's a sampling of where the markets stood Thursday:
From Rasmussen Markets (value reflects percentage chance)
On the Democratic side ...
Virginia Sen. Jim Webb: 17.8 percent
New York Sen. Hillary Clinton: 16.9 percent
Former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards: 7.1 percent
Former Vice President Al Gore: 6.9 percent
Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland: 6.7 percent
New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson: 6.2 percent
Retired Gen. Wesley Clark: 5.4 percent
Former Virginia Gov. Mark Warner: 5 percent
Former Georgia Sen. Sam Nunn: 4.5 percent
Delaware Sen. Joe Biden: 4 percent
Indiana Sen. Evan Bayh: 3.7 percent
Illinois Sen. Barack Obama (if he is not the nominee): 3.2 percent
Former South Dakota Sen. Tom Daschle: 1.1 percent
Connecticut Sen. Chris Dodd: 1 percent
(The "field" category, which represents "any other candidate," was given 33.4 percent odds)
On the Republican side ...
Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty: 18 percent
Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney: 16.8 percent
Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee: 11.4 percent
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice: 6.5 percent
Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani: 6.2 percent
Texas Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison: 5 percent
South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham: 3 percent
("Field" category given 46.3 percent odds)
From Intrade Prediction Markets (value reflects percentage chance)
On the Democratic side ...
Webb: 17.8 percent
Clinton: 16.9 percent
Richardson: 8.2 percent
Edwards: 7.1 percent
Gore: 6.9 percent
Clark: 5.4 percent
Strickland: 5.1 percent
Warner: 5 percent
Biden: 4.1 percent
Bayh: 3.7 percent
Nunn: 3.6 percent
Obama: 1.3 percent
("Field" category given 33.1 percent odds)
On the Republican side ...
Pawlenty: 17.5 percent
Romney: 16.7 percent
Huckabee: 11.4 percent
Giuliani: 6.2 percet
Rice: 6 percent
Hutchison: 4 percent
Graham: 2.2 percent
("Field" category given 46.3 percent odds)
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