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• The Edge: Rubio, Bush, Fiorina and Cruz win the week
• Ouch: Team Jeb says fundraising was ‘fine’
• Power Play: Money is time
• Hillary’s hellacious burn rate unsustainable
• Well, you did pepper spray him
THE EDGE: RUBIO, BUSH, FIORINA AND CRUZ WIN THE WEEK
Public interest in the GOP 2016 field bounced back this week, but some bounced higher than others.
Marco Rubio, Jeb Bush, Carly Fiorina and Ted Cruz gained ground on the competition in this week’s installment of The Edge, a one-of-a-kind measurement from the New Analytics Company that “scrubs” television, radio, print, internet and social media to gauge positive and negative attention for the 2016 candidates.
Last week saw interest in all of the candidates muted by blowout coverage of the papal visit, and this week everyone except eighth-place Ohio Gov. John Kasich got a lift. Candidates Donald Trump, Ben Carson, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee; Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie all rebounded by about a point.
But there was some, er, income inequality.
The Edge shows Floridians Rubio and Bush both buoyed this week as their long-simmering feud began to boil over. The two saw the largest gains. But close behind was Fiorina, who was apparently helped by the avalanche of negative stories in mainstream outlets about her business record and her attacks on Planned Parenthood. Cruz also had a better than average week as he returned to Washington to again do battle with his own party over spending legislation.
Remember, The Edge is not a public opinion survey, but the team at New Analytics believes that The Edge provides a way to show changes in the race before polls can reflect them. The data are compiled into a single score and provided exclusively to Fox News First.
Here’s this week’s final scores with gains from last week in brackets:
Donald Trump, 26.1 [+.9]; Ben Carson, 14 [+1.1]; Jeb Bush, 11.1 [+2.4]; Marco Rubio, 8.6 [+2.4]; Carly Fiorina, 8.2 [+2.2];Ted Cruz, 8 [+1.74]; Mike Huckabee, 5.5 [+1.1] John Kasich, 3.8 [unchanged]; Rand Paul, 3.5 [+1.1]; Chris Christie, 4.4 [+1.1]
Ouch: Team Jeb says fundraising was ‘fine’ - AP: “As another fundraising period ends, what now constitutes success for Bush isn’t as clear cut. No longer the front-runner in preference polls, Bush won’t repeat as the champion at raising money in the GOP’s 2016 field, lapped in the past three months by retired surgeon Ben Carson and perhaps by Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, too. … Bush's finance team describes his fundraising in the past three months as ‘respectable’ and ‘fine,’ while declining to provide the specifics on just how much they raised. That detail will come later this month in a report filed with federal regulators.”
Jeb’s super PAC plays rough - Politico: “The Florida family feud between Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio took a surprising turn on Thursday night when a tracker for a super PAC supporting the former governor tried to slip into an Iowa event for Rubio, whose staff quickly spotted and removed him.”
[Rubio will step up his attacks today, not on Bush, but on Vladimir Putin. WSJ got a look at the speech in advance.]
Rubio donors head for The Strip - WaPo: “Marco Rubio plans to huddle with top donors at a two-day strategy summit in Las Vegas next week where he and his team are expected to lay out their plan for the months ahead in the Republican presidential primary…The ‘Quarter Four Strategy Summit’ is scheduled for Oct. 8 and 9 at the luxe Bellagio Hotel on the Las Vegas Strip, according to a notice obtained by The Washington Post.”
News junkies? - “I thought I would’ve spent about 20 million dollars for advertising, you know, up until this point, right? I’ve spent nothing. I can’t advertise because I’m getting so much coverage. It would almost be: you’d OD on Trump. You understand. That’s overdose on Trump.” – Donald Trump on “New Hampshire Today”
Power Play: Money is time - As the fundraising totals for the last quarter come rolling in, Chris Stirewalt talks with WashEx’s David Drucker and National Journal’s Josh Kraushaar on what these numbers mean. Who will be forced out from a lack of cash? Can those on the bubble push through? WATCH HERE.
Tick, tick, tick - WSJ: “Republican Rand Paul raised $2.5 million in the third quarter of the year, less than half of what he raised in the previous quarter, as his campaign continues to slip in the polls. Mr. Paul, a Kentucky senator, now has $2 million in the bank, his campaign said.”
WITH YOUR SECOND CUP OF COFFEE…
Two years into the Nazis’ quest for world dominance, things could hardly have been going better. Western Europe was well in hand and while Adolf Hitler had been forced to delay his planned invasion of Britain, the U.K. was clinging to a shortening rope. But two things happened in the fall of 1941 that would doom the Third Reich. Every schoolchild (one hopes, still) knows what happened on Dec. 7 and how the corn-fed colossus of America was dragged into the fight and about Hitler’s miscalculation of pre-emptively declaring war on the U.S.A.
But on this day, Hitler made a graver miscalculation, launching what his generals called Operation Typhoon: the drive to Moscow. Against the warnings of his commanders about the coming winter and the strength of the Soviet tank corps, Hitler plunged ahead. But what no one in Berlin knew was about Josef Stalin’s willingness to inflict pain on his own people and their ability to endure it. Aside from 20 million military and civilian deaths in the war, Stalin ordered everything in the path of the German advance destroyed. Crops, homes, livestock even whole villages were blown up and burned down by the Red Army. Unable to forage or take shelter against the elements, the German 1st Army was marooned and at the mercy of Soviet forces.
The attack was suspended on Dec. 6, but it was too late. Nazi troops would spend the next two years facing the butchery of Stalin’s forces, especially at Stalingrad in the following fall, when the Soviets wiped-out a 200,000-man Axis force.
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Real Clear Politics Averages
Obama Job Approval: Approve – 45.4 percent//Disapprove – 49.3 percent
Directions of Country: Right Direction – 26.8 percent//Wrong Track – 62.5 percent
HILLARY’S HELLACIOUS BURN RATE UNSUSTAINABLE
WaPo: “Democratic presidential contender Hillary Rodham Clinton raced through millions of dollars over the summer as she expanded her campaign’s ground operations and launched a paid television campaign, spending around nine out of every 10 dollars she raised in the third quarter. Clinton pulled in more than $28 million and spent an estimated $24.8 million, for a burn rate of about 88.7 percent, based on early numbers released by her campaign.”
Feel the Bern rate - NYT: “Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont still flies coach to his campaign events, sometimes taking the middle seat. He has not run any commercials, instead saving his money for a news media blitz this winter in Iowa, New Hampshire and the Super Tuesday states. His aides are only now preparing to conduct polls, to the consternation of some Sanders advisers who have hungered for data on his political challenges, like courting black and Hispanic voters.”
Power Play: Too late for Biden? - As the first Democratic debate on Oct. 13 comes closer Vice President Joe Biden doesn’t seem to be making any sudden moves. WashEx’s David Drucker and National Journal’s Josh Kraushaar join Chris Stirewalt to discuss whether Biden can still jump in as decision time comes to a close. WATCH HERE.
MCCARTHY TRIES TO CLEAN UP BENGHAZI BOTCH
Fox News: “Speaking with Fox News’ Bret Baier in a ‘Special Report’ exclusive interview, McCarthy said he ‘never meant to imply’ that the Benghazi committee has any political motivations. ‘This committee was set up for one sole purpose - to find the truth on behalf of the families for four dead Americans,’ McCarthy said. ‘Now, I did not intend to imply in any way that work is political’… The comments gave Democrats an opening to reprise allegations the committee is merely a political tool. Rep. Nancy Pelosi, the chamber’s top Democrat, said Thursday that the investigation is ‘unethical’ and the panel should be shut down.”
Ugly fight for GOP majority leader - NRO’s Joel Gehrke writes, “[Tom] Price lacks [Steve] Scalise’s gregarious nature and has engaged in high-profile fights with national-security hawks over defense spending; he is not popular among House Republicans. The majority whip, on the other hand, had to apologize for speaking unwittingly to a gathering of white nationalists during his first congressional campaign. No one wants to talk about it publicly, but the issues are complicating a broader GOP conversation about how to unite the House Republican conference following House Speaker John Boehner’s unexpected resignation…The Scalise–Price bout has the makings of a proxy fight between hardline conservatives and more conventional Republicans…”
Boehner burnishes - As Speaker John Boehner’s time in Congress comes to a close, his office released a video on a defining mission for his time in office: ending earmarks. Through friends and former staffers, the video shows how Boehner kept that promise through his years of public service. Watch here.
SUNDAY SHOWS: WAR DRUMS
Fox News Sunday - Former U.S. Ambassador to both Iraq and Syria Ryan Crocker will discuss Russia’s airstrikes in the region, as will retired Gen. Jack Keane. Rep. Jason Chaffetz, R-Utah, will also appear. “Fox News Sunday with Chris Wallace” airs at 2 p.m. and 6 p.m. ET on Fox News. Check local listings for air times in your area.
#mediabuzz - Chris Stirewalt, Democratic digital dean Joe Trippi, and WSJ’s Carol Lee analyze the new role for foreign policy in the 2016 campaign. Host Howard Kurtz also has an interview with Rand Paul on the state of his struggling campaign. Watch “#mediabuzz” Sunday at 11 a.m. ET, with a second airing at 5 p.m.
WELL, YOU DID PEPPER SPRAY HIM
KUTV: “According to the YouTube video, Mary Maley was trying to go from Ketchikan, Alaska to Petersburg, Alaska [on a solo kayak trip] when the bear ate chunks of her kayak…[In the video Maley recorded she] uses pepper spray on the bear and tells it to go away. As the bear begins to walk away she commands the bear to ‘get away’ from the kayak. ‘Come here, come on’ she says to the now possibly confused bear who thought she wanted him gone. The bear turns back around from looking at her and continues to gnaw at her kayak…She continues to ask questions to the bear and yell at him…In case you are curious what happened next, Maley drug her kayak back to the cabin doorstep and swam to a dock in the bay where she was able to get some help and have her kayak repaired.”
AND NOW A WORD FROM CHARLES…
“It would be nice if [President Obama] showed actual passion about the complete collapse of six and a half years of policy in the Middle East and the abandonment and bombing of our own allies on the ground.” – Charles Krauthammer on “Special Report with Bret Baier.”
Chris Stirewalt is digital politics editor for Fox News. Want FOX News First in your inbox every day? Sign up here.
Chris Stirewalt joined Fox News Channel (FNC) in July of 2010 and serves as digital politics editor based in Washington, D.C. Additionally, he authors the daily "Fox News First" political news note and hosts "Power Play," a feature video series, on FoxNews.com. Stirewalt makes frequent appearances on the network, including "The Kelly File," "Special Report with Bret Baier," and "Fox News Sunday with Chris Wallace." He also provides expert political analysis for Fox News coverage of state, congressional and presidential elections.