The vote a bit ago on the “rule” could portend how the next two big votes will go down.
The vote was 224-206. All but one member, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA), voted. The speaker historically does not vote unless it’s a big issue or a topic of personal interest.
Below is a list of the Democratic “noes” on the rule. There were 28. And what’s interesting is that this list is consistent with those whom we either had down as a no for tonight…or who were undecided this time and voted no in November.
There are 28 Democratic noes here. If all Republicans vote no, Democrats can lose no more than 37 of their own members without jeopardizing either of these votes.
If the Speaker votes (which I expect she will on such a big issue), that could make the votes 225-206. The vote in the fall was 220-215.
Of course, we can’t predict the future. But those listed with an asterisk below are lawmakers who voted yes in November and are confirmed by FOX as noes this time.
They are: Reps. Michael Arcuri (D-NY), Dan Lipinski (D-IL), Stephen Lynch (D-MA), Harry Mitchell (D-AZ) and Zack Space (D-OH).
We have one anomoly. Rep. Harry Teague (D-NM) voted no in November, yet voted yes on tonight’s rule. However, he is officially a “no” vote.
Adler (NJ) NJ
Davis (AL) AL
Davis (TN) TN
Edwards (TX) TX
Herseth Sandlin SD
FOX News' John Brandt contributed to this report.