Republican Bob Turner’s surprisingly-big win Tuesday in New York's Ninth Congressional District is actually no surprise at all.


Because this is the seat of former Democratic Representative Anthony Weiner, whose amoral, disgusting – and shameful (although not criminal) – behavior in compulsively sexting pictures of himself to woman all over the nation brought unwanted attention to New York’s 9th Congressional District.

Back in 1980 I ran against another liberal, Jewish Democrat – Congressman Lester Wolff – in Queens -- who had held his seat since I was 11 years old. He was deemed un-beatable. But he, too, had brought shame to his community by being the Congress’ Junket King – taking hundreds of trips all across the globe – and conducting personal business on these trips - at taxpayer expense in the midst of a horrible economy.

And President Jimmy Carter – like President Obama today – appeared to American Jews to be anti-Israel. Remember Carter’s U.N. Ambassador Andrew Young secretly meeting at the PLO’s HQ in New York City?

So there was in 1980 – and is this morning – a toxic brew that is fatal to a Democrat: 

1) “Disgraceful” behavior by a Democratic officeholder that brings shame to his constituency. 

2) A deteriorating economy which sours the voters.  

3) A Democrat president who appears to be betraying Israel.

Thus – 30 years ago – I became Congressman John LeBoutillier – Republican of Queens.

And today: Newly minted Congressman-elect: Bob Turner, Republican of Queens.

Former Republican Rep. John LeBoutillier represented New York in the U.S. House of Representatives from 1981-83. He is currently a Fox News contributor and co-hosts "Campaign Confidential" with Doug Schoen and Pat Caddell – every Monday at 11 a.m. on Live.

Former New York Republican Congressman John LeBoutillier is a Fox News contributor. He appears along with pollstersand  fellow contributors Doug Schoen and Pat Caddell on "Political Insiders" which can be see Sunday afternoons on Fox News Channel and every Monday at 10:30 am ET on " Live."