By Noel SheppardAssociate Editor, Newsbusters.org
Within hours of Arlen Specter's Democrat defection last Tuesday, the press pronounced the Republican Party dead.
All three broadcast evening news programs told their viewersthat Specter was forced out by the right-wing of the GOP, with NBC's Kelly O'Donnell calling the moment "a seismic shift."
Her colleague Chuck Todd saidon the following morning's "Today" show, "[F]or the Republican Party it's devastating, not just to their hopes of slowing President Obama's agenda in Congress, but for what it says about the future of the GOP."
Two days later, Newsweek's Evan Thomas proclaimedon PBS's "Inside Washington": "I don't think the Republicans would appreciate the comparison, but they're exactly like the Labor Party in England in the 1970s. They're letting their extremists take them straight down."
But the critical diagnoses didn't just come from liberal media members. Former Reagan speechwriter Peggy Noonan saidin a Wall Street Journal piece Saturday, "In the party now there is too much ferocity, and bloody-mindedness."
Yet, all this hand-wringing ignored some realities about the current American ethos that have absolutely nothing to do with Specter's act of self-preservation, for on the same day the senior Senator from Pennsylvania announced his latest strategic metamorphosis, Rasmussen Reports revealedRepublicans leading Democrats in a generic tracking poll of the 2010 Congressional elections.
In something practically out of a Marx Brothers movie, while the press performed last rites over the GOP's supposedly rotting corpse, 41 percent of Rasmussen's respondents said they'd vote for their district's Republican candidate as opposed to 38 percent backing an unnamed Democrat.
According to Rasmussen, "Democrats are currently at their lowest level of support in the past year while Republicans are at the high water mark."
Sound like the GOP is dead to you?
Further evidence of the premature nature of last week's post mortems came Thursday when the Pew Research Center releasedfindings of its must recent survey concerning the nation's views on abortion and gun control.
Quite contrary to the conventional wisdom that Obama's election and Specter's defection signaled an end to conservatism, Pew, for the first time in its history, found almost as many Americans believing it's more important to protect gun rights than legislate stricter laws over such (45 percent to 49 percent respectively).
This represented - using Kelly O'Donnell's words! - a seismic shift, for a year ago 58 percent felt controlling gun ownership was more important, while only 37 percent took the NRA's view.
Similar changes in the nation's attitude towards abortion were identified by Pew as the number saying it should be legal in all or most cases now stands at 46 percent. This was down from 54 percent last August, and represented the first time since at least the mid-'90s that such responses weren't in the majority.
Of course, neither of these polls received much mainstream media attention -- after all, they didn't fit the template of Republican demise and Democrat dominance.
What this should tell average Americans is the same press that aided and abetted the Democrat takeover of Congress in 2006 as well Obama's ascendancy to the White House last year are now doing everything within their power to make sure these results are not overturned any time soon.
Does this mean the Republican Party doesn't have problems?
Certainly not, but to paraphrase Mark Twain, reports of its death are greatly exaggerated.
Noel Sheppard is associate editor of the MediaResearchCenter's NewsBusters.org. He welcomes feedback firstname.lastname@example.org.