Published August 17, 2012
After 35 years of virtually uninterrupted growth, China has hit an inflection point. The three primary reasons that created more than three decades of growth either no longer exist or are disappearing fast
Published February 13, 2012
There is scant evidence that having good personal ties with China’s supreme leaders has ever helped America get what it wanted from Beijing.
Published September 09, 2011
Beijing, unfortunately, may be approaching the world much like Moscow did in the turbulent 1950s. The Chinese have hundreds of nukes, and we have assumed we could deter them just as we deterred the Soviets. Recent comments by a Chinese general, however, should force us to reexamine our assumptions.
Published August 18, 2011
The ruthlessly pragmatic Chinese respect strength and despise weakness. Vice President Joe Biden, by going to Beijing before China's likely next leader Xi Jinping came here, looks like a supplicant, something state media is already playing up.
Published June 30, 2011
The Communist Party in China turns 90 on July 1. The Party now faces a crisis of identity as do all revolutionary organizations that are successful enough to mature. As it tries to adapt, it hopes to switch the base of its support in society but that is always a dangerous exercise.
Published June 17, 2011
If there is one unifying theme for unrest in China today, it is the desire for justice, the demand to be treated fairly. That’s a hopeful sign for society in general but not for the ruling Communist Party.
Published April 25, 2011
Senior Chinese leaders are certainly trying to be more coercive and coercion limits political discourse, but repression in China’s forward-looking society is losing its effectiveness. And as it loses its effectiveness, an important change in the thinking of Chinese people is occurring: they are becoming defiant.
Published March 14, 2011
The return to Marxist words by China's leaders in recent years is more than a rhetorical flourish, unfortunately. Hu Jintao and his premier, Wen Jiabao, have steered the Chinese economy back to the past.
Published December 15, 2010
Why are Washington and Seoul apparently taking a new tack on North Korea? Perhaps both countries think this is a way to put pressure on Beijing to do something about its murderous North Korean ally.
Published December 10, 2010
China is becoming a rogue state and showing the world that its one-party system has essentially remained unreformed after three decades of economic transformation.